IceDamCheck

Ice dam risk in Rochester, MN

How often ice dams form in Rochester

33.3 dam days a winter

High risk. On an ordinary house in Rochester, conditions for an ice dam come on about 33.3 days in a normal winter, mostly in January and February.

Rochester averages 53 inches of snow a year and about 89 days with snow on the ground. Snow that lies that long is what turns a little attic heat into a ridge of ice at the eave. The conditions that make a dam need all three at once: snow, cold at the eave and heat above it.

What your attic does to that number in Rochester

AtticDam daysRisk
Air-sealed and well insulated12.5Moderate
Typical, some insulation, not air-sealed33.3High
Older or poorly insulated, warm attic59.3Severe

Sealing and insulating a typical attic takes out about 20.8 days a winter here. It drops the risk from high to moderate. An older house with a warm attic should expect closer to 59.3 days.

Preventing ice dams on a Rochester roof

  1. Air-seal the attic floor: the gaps around the hatch, light fixtures, plumbing stacks and the top plates of interior walls. This is the fix that removes the cause, and it usually costs less than a season of contractor ice removal.
  2. Rake the bottom three or four feet of roof after any storm that leaves more than about six inches, from the ground with a roof rake.
  3. At the next reroof, ask for ice-and-water membrane under the shingles from the eave to at least 24 inches inside the wall line. It does not stop a dam; it stops the leak when one forms.

Which to spend on first: air sealing or heat cable.

Rochester winter, month by month

MonthSnow (in)Days on groundDam days
January12.225.411.2
February10.723.39.4
March8.613.63.5
April3.31.90.2
May0.50.10.0
October0.90.30.0
November4.54.51.1
December12.419.87.8

Rochester next to nearby towns

Rochester ranks 59 of 103 Minnesota cities here for ice-dam days, behind Hermantown at 52.9 days.

Where these numbers come from

NOAA 1991–2020 climate normals from Rochester International Airport, 7.7 miles from Rochester. A dam day is a day with snow on the roof and freezing at the eave while heat or sun melts the snow above it. This describes a normal winter, not this one.