IceDamCheck

Ice dam risk in Fargo, ND

Will your roof get ice dams in Fargo, ND?

43.6 dam days a winter

Severe risk. On an ordinary house in Fargo, conditions for an ice dam come on about 43.6 days in a normal winter, mostly in January and February.

Fargo averages 53 inches of snow a year and about 110 days with snow on the ground. Snow that lies that long is what turns a little attic heat into a ridge of ice at the eave. The conditions that make a dam need all three at once: snow, cold at the eave and heat above it.

What your attic does to that number in Fargo

AtticDam daysRisk
Air-sealed and well insulated14.9Moderate
Typical, some insulation, not air-sealed43.6Severe
Older or poorly insulated, warm attic79.5Severe

Sealing and insulating a typical attic takes out about 28.7 days a winter here. It drops the risk from severe to moderate. An older house with a warm attic should expect closer to 79.5 days.

Preventing ice dams on a Fargo roof

  1. Air-seal the attic floor: the gaps around the hatch, light fixtures, plumbing stacks and the top plates of interior walls. This is the fix that removes the cause, and it usually costs less than a season of contractor ice removal.
  2. Rake the bottom three or four feet of roof after any storm that leaves more than about six inches, from the ground with a roof rake.
  3. At the next reroof, ask for ice-and-water membrane under the shingles from the eave to at least 24 inches inside the wall line. It does not stop a dam; it stops the leak when one forms.

Which to spend on first: air sealing or heat cable.

Fargo winter, month by month

MonthSnow (in)Days on groundDam days
January12.229.113.5
February7.726.211.2
March9.318.15.4
April4.03.20.4
October0.70.20.0
November8.010.23.2
December10.822.79.9

Fargo next to nearby towns

Fargo ranks 3 of 9 North Dakota cities here for ice-dam days, behind Jamestown at 45.7 days.

Where these numbers come from

NOAA 1991–2020 climate normals from Moorhead, 4.1 miles from Fargo. A dam day is a day with snow on the roof and freezing at the eave while heat or sun melts the snow above it. This describes a normal winter, not this one.